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Climate Change in China
2008 - 10 - 16

China is likely to face inadequate food supply by 2030 if the current climate change trend continues, warns a new Greenpeace report released Wednesday.

If the emission of greenhouse gases (GHG) continues to be high, the impact of climate change - including rise in temperature, loss of arable land, shortage of water and extreme weather - could reduce China's overall food production by 23 percent by 2050, the report said.

"China's agriculture sector is already suffering from the impact of climate change," said Lin Erda, a senior researcher with the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences. For instance, winter wheat grown in the northern part of China has become less resistant to cold because of warmer winters during the past several years.

This has made it more vulnerable to freezing temperatures in early spring and thus reduced productivity, said Lin, who is also one of China's top climate experts.
As much as 50 million hectares of crops in China are threatened by climatic disasters every year, the Greenpeace report says.

China's ability to adapt to such changes is still weak because it lacks state-of-the-art technologies and financial support, Lin said. The country needs "new technologies to solve these new problems" and, as a developing nation, needs the help of the developed world to fight the threats of global warming.

There is a huge gap between the developing countries' need for financial support and what the developed countries offer at present, Lin said.

The report, commissioned by Greenpeace and prepared by China's top climate experts and agronomists, calls for immediate action to reduce GHG emissions and adopt a more climate-friendly farming system.

The report identifies "ecologically friendly" agriculture as a possible solution for China to feed the world's largest population in a sustainable way. Ecological agriculture encourages reduced dependence on fertilizers and pesticides to maintain soil fertility. It uses biogas to cut carbon dioxide emission, and helps increase biodiversity in farming to prevent plant diseases.

Compared with the destructive chemical and fossil-energy intensive agriculture, ecological farming can better fight the threats of climate change, Lin said.


Climate change 'boosts plant health in China'
*
Wang Shu and Jia Hepeng
14 December 2007
Source: 
SciDev.Net

[BEIJING] Climate change has helped plants in China become more robust, according to a study by Chinese scientists.

Scientists at the Beijing Normal University studied the link between climate factors and changes in plants' net primary productivity — a term used to evaluate the net reserve energy plants need during growth — between 1982 and 1999.

"If the net primary productivity of a plant is high, it means the plant grows more healthily," says lead author Zhu Wenquan of the College of Resources at the university.

Zhu and colleagues analyzed climate-observation data for the period alongside remote-sensing data on plantations in different regions in China. They then determined the specific climate factors — sunshine, temperature and precipitation — that had the biggest impact on plant growth in these regions.
They found that low temperatures in northeast China and the Tibet–Qinghai highlands contribute most to poor plant growth. In northwestern China it is reduced precipitation. And in southern and eastern China it is lack of sunshine that hinders growth.

But over the period studied, temperature, precipitation or sunshine increased markedly in these respective regions — effects that the scientists attribute to global warming.

"We are not denying the role of other factors, but the three factors (sunshine, temperature and precipitation) have played a much more important role than others," Zhu told SciDev.Net.
As a result, the net primary productivity of land plants in China grew by 11.5 per cent because of climate change, which the authors say is consistent with the global trend of an increase of about six per cent worldwide.

Zhu says this does not contradict the widely believed negative impacts of global warming. "For crops, for example, the growth in net primary productivity does not necessarily translate into increased output. The plant stem may grow more than fruits, for example."
He adds that climate change could cause severe disasters in individual regions, which would not be offset by increased plant productivity.

A previous study, published in 2004 by Gao Zhiqiang and colleagues from the Institute of Geographical Sciences and Nature Resources Research at the Chinese Academy of Sciences, concluded that climate change between 1978 and 1998 had caused a decrease in plant productivity in northeast China.
Referring to Zhu's studies, Gao says various aspects of climate change could combine to complicate the impact on plant growth, and it is difficult to associate a change in net primary productivity with variation of a single "major" climate factor.

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